Oil falls below $62, heads for weekly loss on China virus concerns

Beijing is world's second-largest oil consumer; slowdown in travel will show up on demand forecasts


Reuters January 24, 2020
Beijing is world's second-largest oil consumer; slowdown in travel will show up on demand forecasts. PHOTO: AFP

LONDON: Oil slipped below $62 a barrel on Friday and was heading for a weekly decline as concern that a virus in China may spread, curbing travel and oil demand, overshadowed supply cuts.

The virus has prompted the suspension of public transport in 10 Chinese cities. Health authorities fear the infection rate could accelerate over the lunar New Year holiday this weekend, when millions of Chinese travel.

Global benchmark Brent was down $0.28 to $61.76 at 1115 GMT. The contract is down almost 5% this week, its third consecutive weekly drop. US crude slipped $0.25 to $55.34 and was also on course for a weekly decline.

"One should be prepared for negative surprises when it comes to Chinese demand," said Eugen Weinberg, analyst at Commerzbank. "The impact of this is all the greater because the restrictions are being imposed during the busiest travel season for the Chinese."

China is the world's second-largest oil consumer so any slowdown in travel would show up on demand forecasts.

Offering some support for prices was the US Energy Information Administration's latest weekly supply report, which on Thursday showed that crude inventories fell 405,000 barrels in the week to January 17.

Nonetheless, the upside for prices was limited. Oil inventories in the wider industrialised world are above the five-year average according to OPEC figures, which analysts say is limiting the impact on prices of supply losses.

"Such is the bearish pressure that a raft of ongoing crude supply outages is not gaining much traction," said analysts at JBC Energy in a report.

Such outages include the shutdown this week of the bulk of oil supply in OPEC producer Libya.

The prospect of further steps by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, known as OPEC+, could still offer support. OPEC+ has been mostly limiting supply since 2017 and on January 1 deepened a cut in output.

Saudi Arabia's energy minister said all options are open at the next OPEC+ meeting, which is scheduled for March, including further cuts, Al Arabiya television reported.

The current OPEC+ deal expires at the end of March. Russia's number two oil producer Lukoil expects it to be extended, Interfax news agency cited its chief executive as saying on Thursday.

 

 

COMMENTS

Replying to X

Comments are moderated and generally will be posted if they are on-topic and not abusive.

For more information, please see our Comments FAQ