Oil falls on weak Chinese industrial data

Traders are optimistic as US, China are close to finalising some parts of a trade deal


Reuters October 28, 2019
Traders are optimistic as US, China are close to finalising some parts of a trade deal. PHOTO: REUTERS

LONDON: Oil prices fell on Monday after strong gains last week, as data released in China reinforced signs that its economy is slowing, though progress in China-US trade talks has supported prices.

Brent crude was down $0.23, or 0.4%, at $61.79 a barrel by 1147 GMT, having gained more than 4% last week, its best weekly gain since September 20.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was down $0.23, or 0.4%, at $56.43 a barrel, after rising more than 5% last week, also the biggest weekly increase since September 20.

Profits at Chinese industrial companies fell for the second straight month in September as producer prices continued to slide, highlighting the impact of a slowing economy and protracted US trade war on corporate balance sheets.

Still, traders were optimistic after the US Trade Representative's office and China's Commerce Ministry said on Friday that the two countries were "close to finalising" some parts of a trade agreement.

"Looking further ahead, if trade talks continue to progress, and we see full agreement to phase 1 of the deal, this should help to improve sentiment further," ING analyst Warren Patterson said.

Analysts say a trade agreement would provide a boost to global oil demand growth.

US energy companies reduced the number of oil rigs operating this week, leading to a record 11-month decline as producers follow through on plans to cut spending on new drilling.

Russia's energy ministry said that OPEC and its oil-exporting allies, known as OPEC+, would factor in the slowdown of US oil output growth when they meet to discuss their output agreement in December.

However, Russian Deputy Energy Minister Pavel Sorokin said it was premature to talk about deeper production cuts.

OPEC+ has since January implemented a deal to cut output by 1.2 million bpd to support the market. The pact runs to March 2020 and the producers meet to review policy on December 5-6.

"We are of the view that an extension of current cuts is path of least resistance for the producer group, while deeper cuts will be far more difficult to agree on," Harry Tchilinguirian, global oil strategist at BNP Paribas in London said.

Money managers cut their net long US crude futures and options positions in the week to October 22, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission said on Friday.

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