Pakistan’s place in Obama’s world

Published: May 29, 2016
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The writer is a former caretaker finance minister and served as vice-president at the World Bank

The writer is a former caretaker finance minister and served as vice-president at the World Bank

Pakistan’s relations with the United States matter. Every time the country’s economy did well, it was with American support. While that type of support is unlikely to play a major role in the future, the break with the past needs to be a matter managed. It should not be determined by such events as the killing of Mullah Mansour, the head of the Afghan Taliban, by an American drone attack. Interior Minister Chaudhry Nisar Ali Khan has said that the circumstances surrounding the death of the Taliban leader will have “serious implications for the Pak-US relations.” He was right to underscore in a news conference that “no country can allow its sovereignty to be violated in such a way,” adding that US officials notified Pakistan about the strike seven hours after it happened. To develop a better appreciation of the way President Barack Obama’s Washington looks at Pakistan, it is important to place the developing relationship in a wider context.

President Obama’s pivot to Asia was meant to serve a number of objectives. Some of these were articulated by the president during his many visits to Asia. Some were developed as the circumstances in which Washington was shaping and reshaping its world view changed in unexpected ways. President Obama’s view of the world was a composite of how he and his policy associates saw the world; in particular, the way they viewed the three regions that were considered to be important for the United States: Europe, the Middle East and Asia. Obama believed that with the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, the United States’ task in Europe was done.

In what came to be described as the “Obama Doctrine,” the American president was inclined to let the world go its own way. The president, for instance, was reluctant to get involved in the Middle East’s many problems. His hands-off approach went to the extent of not acting when Syria’s President Basharal Assad used chemical weapons on his people. By doing so, the Syrian leader crossed what Obama had described as a “red line.” The region must confront a number of issues: whether the nations in Middle East should force the political elite to give up authoritarian rule in favour of liberal democracy, whether the arbitrary boundaries drawn by the British and the French in 1916 after the defeat of the Ottomans should be aggressively defended, and whether the resurgent and extremist Islam could be defeated by a combination of force and social and political development. These are some of the questions to which the countries themselves will have to find the right answers. The United States would get engaged in any of these efforts if its strategic interests were under threat.

But the assumptions on which the doctrine was based were challenged by a number of developments that were largely unexpected. During his third term in office as Russia’s president, Vladimir Putin sought to restore some of the past glory of the czarist empire. He used military force to reoccupy the Crimean Peninsula and fomented rebellion in the eastern part of Ukraine. Then, there was the sudden rise of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, which acquired large swathes of territory in the two countries as the military, trained and armed by the United States at great expense, melted away. Finally, the pressure on Europe exerted by more than a million refugees who left their homes in search of security brought about unexpected political change. Some European nations drifted to the right to counter the situation created by the arrival of a vast number of Muslims from the Middle East, Central Asia and North Africa. For Washington, these developments meant that it could not disengage itself from Europe and the Middle East as quickly as it had once hoped. It was only by reducing its presence in these two regions that Washington could focus – or on Obama’s pivot – on Asia.

In defining the scope and content of its Asia pivot, Obama had originally focused on the economic opportunities that existed in the continent that would benefit his country. Until the time he arrived in the White House, China was the most important economic partner of the United States. Trade between the two countries had increased at a spectacular rate while the Chinese placed a significant part of their accumulated foreign reserves in the United States’ treasuries.  At one point, these resources were estimated to be more than four trillion dollars. This mutual dependence made the burgeoning China-US conflict different from the one Washington waged with the Soviet Union during the Cold War. However, as was the case then, the United States was not willing to share the world stage with a rising economic and military power. Washington developed an approach to Beijing that was not described as “China’s containment,” but that was the way the Asia policy was shaping up as President Obama neared the end of his two terms in office.

Pakistan does not occupy a space of any significance in this view of the world or of Asia. As revealed in a long article by Jeffrey Goldberg written for the magazine The Atlantic, Obama was dismissive of Pakistan, showing little respect for the country that was once a close ally of the United States. It was this attitude that prompted the American president to allow his drones to fly deep into the Pakistani territory and kill Mullah Mansour.

Published in The Express Tribune, May 30th, 2016.

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Reader Comments (10)

  • NHA
    May 29, 2016 - 11:34PM

    Not a big deal. Obama has said so many things about so many leaders and countries . See JEFFREY GOLDBERG MAR 18, 2016 post in The Atlantic. Also see NIALL FERGUSON MAR 13, 2016 post there. Here are few excerpts.

    “Power corrupts in subtle ways. It appears to have made Obama arrogant.”

    “It is a criticism I have heard from more than one person who has worked with President Obama: that he regards himself as the smartest person in the room—any room. ….. The president seems to think he is the smartest person in the world, perhaps ever.”Recommend

  • Pankaj Sharma
    May 30, 2016 - 2:29AM

    Precisely. Why Pakistan was seeing hubris, that is the question.
    Why it was trying to punch above its weight?
    I have sympathy, nay, good wishes for Pakistan but it is for Pakistan to play according to rules.
    No, Pakistan is not the only Badmaash in world, others can play that game as well but, others have understood that to thrive, one has to play by rules.
    Excel there and become number 1 but not by, Badmaashi.Recommend

  • ajeet
    May 30, 2016 - 4:41AM

    If and when the iron brother ditches pakistan, its future would be as bright as the chicken in the halal slaughterhouse.Recommend

  • Mahakaalchakra
    May 30, 2016 - 7:23AM

    Pakistan’s place in Donald,s world? Or Hillary’ world is just six months away and it will be downgraded further by Hillary and Donald Trump’s views about Pakistan are known in his own words. PeaceRecommend

  • NHA
    May 30, 2016 - 10:22AM

    @Mahakaalchakra: Pakistan is not in a beauty contest. It is only promoting national interest and at this point in time this arrangement suits it. We will see what is next.

    It is amazing how interested are Indians in this small part of the region. Looks an army of commentators is employed to detract and dis-inform a whole bunch of people around the world. Recommend

  • Hadi
    May 30, 2016 - 10:44AM

    Pakistani considered Afghan’s as their real brothers because of their log history and provided them unconditional support from Soviet era until now and they are hosting over 4 millions afghan refugees more than any refugees’ support in the world. Pakistan’s open border policy kills national sovereignty clearly more wild beast are moving across the border now than actual deprived. The country is now realizing the fact and tightening its border. But afghans and Indians are the worst neighbors in the world since they are as hungry as such a wild wolf that is completely ungrateful and uncontended no matter how much world had fed them. These two countries left no stone un-turn to cash out opportunities in return of blaming Pakistan as a safe shelter for extremist. For that West is looking at suspiciously and particularly America has lost its trust in Pakistan leadership long ago. It is using drone bomb attacks as its last survivor in the region. While it is clear that bombing is not a solution for “extremism” which is the by product of unfair behavior of the “world’s power hungers”. These bombs simply kills few and created hundreds. The only solution is the peace negotiation and help to cure the wound. It seems Pakistan is the only believer of this fact in the afghan region while America has lost its credibility because of its drone pride and killing thousands of civilians until now. An analytically conservative Council on TheGardians assesses that 500 drone strikes outside of Iraq and Afghanistan have killed 3,674 people. Recommend

  • Romm
    May 30, 2016 - 11:36AM

    @NHS
    Spot on! Recommend

  • Mahakaalchakra
    May 30, 2016 - 11:48AM

    @NHA:
    What you call “national interest of Pakistan” the rest of civilized world view as “cradle of international terrorism where madrasah is used to brain wash innocent youth followed by military type training and arming by deep agents to create death and disorder not only in the entire neighborhood but in almost all continents” World cannot forget the millions of innocent Hindus, Sikhs and Muslims killed in 1947 partition, 1971 civil war in Eastern wing of Pakistan and now in Afghanistan since 1979. There is one agent common in all these genocides which any one, except those with Jehadi mentality, can easily guess. Can you?

    ET please publish this. ThanksRecommend

  • Rex Minor
    May 30, 2016 - 11:09PM

    In what came to be described as the “Obama Doctrine,” the American president was inclined to let the world go its own way. The president, for instance, was reluctant to get involved in the Middle East’s many problems.

    Not so fast Mr Banker! Let us start again with Alif Lam Mim, the man obama presented Hillary as a war monger and was elected as the President of peace and even fooled those who forgot that the man was raised on the streets of Alcapone city of Chicago,.awarding him the Nobel peace prize. He very quickly agreed to the strategy of a surge first in Iraq and later in Afganistan, firing the General who proposed instead to win the hearts and minds of Afghans.
    His forces have been squarely defeated first in Iraq and than in Afghanistan, neither him nor his secretary of defence dare enter into Afghanistan in day light. His doctrine of surge was amended to no boots on ground and later replaced by special forces operations. He soon identified the weakness in kind hearted Nation of a friendly country and risked the intrusion deep into the less protected officer academy of Pakistan and even got away with the dead body of an old man. His droning into Pakistan along the borders of Afghanistan became almost a routine trying to frighten the Pashtun families. His latest penetration though is a direct challenge for the integrity of Pakistan sovereignty and please for pete sake do not try to belittle it or explain it for one or other reason. Obama hands-off approach was cused due to the rection of Russian Putin rwho is very serious in defending his allies and ready to take on American power when it threatens Russian sovereignty and its strategic interests

    Rex MinorRecommend

  • Rex Minor
    May 31, 2016 - 2:24AM

    @NHA:
    President Obama: that he regards himself as the smartest person in the room—any room. ….. The president seems to think he is the smartest person in the world, perhaps ever.”

    All those with an inferiority complex also become arrogants with a chip on shoulders. Imagine the person born from a jewish woman who is Irish too and an african father who happens to be a muslim and then.gets raised on the streets of chicago with hostile police towards the afro-americans. And you reckon that he will not go berserk once he gets the power over others?

    Rex MinorRecommend

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