Formula 1: Is Red Bull the only contender?

Vettel’s incredible driving ability along with the Red Bull team is likely to net them a fourth successive F1 title!

Saad Bari Cheema January 25, 2013
The upcoming Formula 1 (F1) season is destined to be another challenging and intriguing one indeed.

Red Bull, Mclaren and Ferrari remain serious contenders for the Championship.

 Mercedes is considered by some to be a dark horse in this year’s campaign.

Mercedes had undergone a major transition at the end of last year when Michael Schumacher (the Greatest Driver of all time) bowed out of the F1, after a rather uneventful comeback with the German Team.

His retirement has left a huge vacuum in the team as well as Formula 1. I seriously doubt we will ever get the chance to witness a racer and a sheer competitor of his caliber again.

Lewis Hamilton, one of the most talented yet at times temperamental drivers has joined Mercedes F1 Team as Schumi’s replacement and has massive shoes to fill.

Keeping in mind this season, the X factor will be whether Mercedes and Lewis Hamilton are in a position to compete with the likes of Red Bull, Ferrari and Mclaren.

Mercedes’ success in 2013 depends on a few key factors.

Mercedes re-entered F1 as a constructor in 2010, after a gap of almost two decades and lured Schumacher out of retirement to launch a serious bid for the championship.

The prospect of winning an eighth World Championship with a German manufacturer added some sort of hope and optimism to Schumacher and Mercedes’ comeback in F1.

Having been his long term buddy and previous Technical Director at Benetton and Ferrari, Ross Brawn added to the heightened interest in the Brackley based team.

The last three seasons with Schumacher and Rosberg as the driver’s line up, have produced rather dismal results. Additionally there is poor reliability, lack of speed, adaptability and Pirelli tyres being major impediments.

Schumacher’s comeback at the age over 40, with Mercedes was always going to be a tricky one. This is because of the rule changes introduced in F1, and primarily because Mercedes had been out of the sport for too long. It takes time to build a highly successful team in Formula 1.

However, both Schumacher and Mercedes were hopeful in making it happen. Ferrari had not won a Drivers Championship since 1979 and was struggling when Schumacher decided to join them on a highly lucrative contract.

It took Ferrari around three years to start competing with the front runners at the time, i.e. Williams and Mclaren.

With Schumacher leading from the front and rallying the whole team behind him, 2000 onward witnessed a level of success that had never been seen in F1. This can be comparable with the biggest sports legacies of all time.

The same did not happen to Mercedes.

It was only in 2012 that the team showed signs of competitiveness and that too because of getting hold of the required Technical team and resources to continuously design and develop a winning car.

The car showed signs of brilliance during the early part of the season, where in China both the drivers qualified on the front row.

Nico won. Schumi suffered a mechanical failure while running for second place.

The other highlight was Schumacher’s brilliant qualifying lap to steal Pole Position for the Monaco Grand Prix; however he couldn’t start from the front due to a grid penalty from an accident in the previous race.

As Schumacher recently highlighted in a couple of interviews, Mercedes did not initially invest as much funds in the design and development of the car as was required and it took them almost two years to hire a competitive Technical Team and design unit.

However, Michael remains optimistic of Mercedes’ success in the upcoming season. He believes that all the hard work put in over the last couple of years is likely to pay dividends this year onward.

Norbert Haug - long serving Head of Mercedes Motorsport - also retired last year while accepting failure for the team’s lack of success. I do believe Mercedes has a fair chance of competing for podiums at some races this season, however, for them to challenge Sebastien Vettel the youngest Triple World Champion would be a monumental task.

Ferrari’s Alonso is also a tough contender.

Hamilton’s move to Mercedes is considered by critics as a risky proposition. It might pay dividends for him as Mercedes will be one of the only three engine suppliers next year.

Another reason why Mercedes will have a better chance at moving forward is because of the significant rule changes that are being introduced in F1, including the induction of V6 engines on which the company is already working.

Hamilton possesses incredible driving skills and if he can manage his temperament and rally the team behind himself, he has a good platform to make a solid impression in future.

My prediction for 2013, thus, is:
Vettel’s incredible driving ability coupled with the genius of the Red Bull team is likely to net them a fourth successive F1 title!

Follow Saad on Twitter @saadbari_
Saad Bari Cheema A professional banker, keen sportsman and occasional blogger. An F1 fanatic and plays all kinds of sports including Golf, Tennis, Cricket etc. He tweets: @saadbari_
The views expressed by the writer and the reader comments do not necassarily reflect the views and policies of the Express Tribune.


saad | 11 years ago | Reply well my proposed title was: Can mercedes pose a challenge to F1's frontrunners? but i guess it was edited based on my closing remark. The reason i had to focus on schumi because if we were to analyze mercedes's future prospects they have to be assessed based on their recent history and michael was a part of that....
saad | 11 years ago | Reply @Zain: i agree that mercedes' has serious issues with their organizational setup but some of them might have been resolved. They have a new head as haug resigned last year and they have the right infrastructure in place to make an impression. given their massive profile they need to click within next couple of years failing which they would exit F1 again. As far as Lotus is concerned they too are a dark horse but i have my doubts about whether Kimi will get a car capable of competing for the championship. F1 would be a lot more exciting post 2014 with a lot of new regulations and engine changes... my piece was mor about whether merc can pose a challenge to f1's frontrunners and i agree not this year. but next year onwards might see a reversal of fortune for them, if hamilton can keep his head...
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