In the right direction

Clearly, all stakeholders appear to be moving in the ‘right’ direction to secure peace in Afghanistan


Imtiaz Gul February 24, 2015
The writer heads the independent Centre for Research and Security Studies, Islamabad

As of now, Pakistan-Afghan relations are currently undergoing an unprecedented transformation, manifest in Afghan President Ashraf Ghani’s latest phone call to Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif. Ghani not only thanked Sharif for sending Army chief General Raheel Sharif to Afghanistan” but also apprised him of the impending talks with the Taliban.

Ostensibly, Ghani and Pakistani leaders are also wary of detractors who may try to vitiate the air through media leaks and conspiracies about the impending talks. This way, he resonated the concerns which General Sharif expressed last week in Kabul.

Both Ghani and the Pakistani civil-military leadership fear that proponents of the former Northern Alliance — heavily represented in the Afghan security establishment, including Amrullah Saleh, Afghanistan’s former intelligence chief — could keep undermining the reconciliation process through their rhetorical posturing, as witnessed at a recent conference in Geneva.

As usual Saleh not only painted Pakistan in black but even decried China for “pushing us to talk to Taliban terrorists.” It’s ironic indeed that China is asking us to make peace with the Taliban while it is cracking down on the (Chinese Taliban) associated with the East Turkestan Islamic Movement as a terrorist group, the former Afghan intelligence chief argued. He also wondered why pressure is being exerted on nuclear Pakistan which supports the Taliban terrorists.

A Chinese official present on the occasion shot back to tell Saleh that Beijing was only trying to facilitate intra-Afghan reconciliation in Afghanistan. Don’t call it a surrender to terrorists. The Taliban are your people and your president, Ashraf Ghani, has been requesting the world community for help in reaching out to the insurgent group.

Pakistani delegates also pointed out that most conflicts do culminate in reconciliation. Diplomatic circles in Islamabad, Washington and even in Kabul, meanwhile, agree that China has, for several reasons, emerged as the most-neutral arbiter in the Afghan peace process.

Firstly, Washington apparently succeeded in convincing Beijing that it is taking the backseat in the peace process and that is why China agreed to chair the Istanbul Process on Afghanistan.

Secondly, China decided to lead the Afghan reconciliation after realising that peace there was integral to regional peace and commerce and that it has to assume some lead responsibility too.

Thirdly, China enjoys the goodwill of Afghans because it has not been a “combatant” in Afghanistan. Fourthly, China, as part of its push for a regional approach to Afghanistan, is also not averse to an active Indian role in Afghanistan and wouldn’t like to see Indo-Pakistan rivalry overshadow the peace efforts. Fifth, with China in the lead role, the Pakistan-bashers in Kabul would have little reason to be apprehensive of any mischief from either side.

Clearly, all stakeholders appear to be moving in the ‘right’ direction to secure peace in Afghanistan with China as the common most neutral denominator.

Published in The Express Tribune, February 25th,  2015.

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COMMENTS (1)

Brig Asif Alvi | 9 years ago | Reply It is not an easy undertaking to bring peace in Afghanistan. This is what the history suggests us clearly. The present Afghanistan is a comparatively a more complicated place. There are internal and external complications. The durable peace presupposes settlement on many issues. A desired level of regional understanding is the first essential. The mistrust between Pakistan and India is the main factor. India with a view to reducing pressure in Kashmir, is exerting its influencing in Afghanistan. Our political/ military leadership has to understand that we as a country do not have a capacity to wage a proxy war. India is emerging as a great economy at the global level. This has added to its diplomatic and military capacity. This is a reality and earlier accepted, better it will be. We are the major stakeholders in Afghanistan peace and its stability. A destabilized Pakistan is our serious vulnerability. This is cumulative outcome of our myopic policies. The first question we need to pose our self is: Do we have a power potential to play strategic games? We must look inwards: the political and security situation. Interestingly, some of the major political parties have expressed dissatisfaction with the proposed Trade Corridor. This is precisely happening just before the visit of the Chinese Prime Minister. What does it convey? The strength of our nationhood or internal security? Who will invest in such a country? It is in our interest to mend our policies and try to emerge as a nation. We need to go two steps ahead to make peace with India. This must be our basic effort before we think of peace in Afghanistan.
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