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Life after Osama — will be tough

Published: May 3, 2011

george.fulton@tribune.com.pk

The killing of Osama bin Laden has brought much jubilation in many parts of the world but not, probably, in Pakistan. In fact, if anything, the ‘Sheikh’s’ capture and death on Pakistani soil further reinforces the view that the country is a ‘hotbed’ of terrorism.

It is almost inconceivable that the Pakistani military/intelligence nexus was unaware of the large compound and its occupant in Abbottabad — a mere 100 kilometres away from Islamabad — where, only last week, General Kayani gave an address to cadets at the Pakistan Military Academy, itself less than a kilometre away from Osama bin Laden’s hideout. Recent leaked cables suggesting active collaboration between the ISI and al Qaeda means that it is even less likely that no one in the military establishment knew of the whereabouts of the world’s most wanted man. In the forthcoming weeks, Pakistani officials will have some serious questions to answer.

Tellingly, the operation was conducted solely by US Navy SEALs. It appears that after the outing of the CIA bureau chief in Islamabad earlier this year and the Raymond Davis fiasco, trust between the CIA and the ISI was running very low. And after May 1’s stunning success, there will be questions in the Pentagon wondering whether the US should have acted unilaterally earlier.

This is dangerous for Pakistan on several fronts. Firstly, Pakistan could see more unilateral action by the US against Pakistani targets on its soil. Secondly, its biggest export has been its geographical strategic importance but that could change with growing signs of US unilateralism. For too long, Pakistan has been more than willing to proffer influence with one hand whilst wielding the begging bowl in the other. The end result is that Pakistan has become a client state to several nations (often with conflicting foreign policy objectives including the US, Saudi Arabia and China). Yet whilst courting these states, it has continued to forge its own, often contradictory, strategic policies. Pakistan demands military aid from the West in order to help fight militancy — a militancy that the establishment itself has often been accused of fuelling. But it seems the game may now well be over. Sooner, or later, this double-dealing was bound to be noticed by the Americans. Will other nations follow?

Caught by surprise, it was also telling how the hyper-nationalists and designer-patriots tried to spin the news of Osama bin Laden’s death on Pakistan television. News anchors and faux ‘analysts’ were wheeled out by their handlers to peddle a false narrative of Pakistan’s involvement in the operation — an involvement that was quickly discredited. The immediate coverage smacked of desperation, since if it was clear that the rest of the world thought that Pakistan had been exposed and the state and the powers behind it were unsure of how best to spin this so as to minimise damage. But the damage has been done; there is already growing clamour in the West for a reduction in military and civilian aid to Pakistan.

In Britain, there are grumblings that a country for which David Cameron pledged 650 million pounds only last month for education has been harbouring the mastermind of 9/11. This will continue in the weeks ahead. Pakistan has few friends left but, after this week, it will have even fewer. When Newsweek described Pakistan as the most dangerous nation in the world in the mid-nineties, many snorted with derision at the fraught hyperbole. Few would disagree with that assessment now.

Published in The Express Tribune, May 4th, 2011.

Reader Comments (45)

  • faraz
    May 3, 2011 - 10:08PM

    A leading anchor came up with a lame conspiracy theory that Osama wasn’t present at the compound and the real purpose of this operation is to achieve electoral victory for US Democrats. Now this anchor is not as ludicrous as other TV hosts and Urdu columnists! We are simply hopeless.Recommend

  • ashwin
    May 3, 2011 - 10:45PM

    mmm i am an Indian , so might be scoffed for my comments, but this theory of Pakistan actually using terror as a state policy seemed far fetched , which seems to be true.Wonder which country in the world want to associate with Pakistan.Forget country wonder how would a Pakistani feel, does the Army of Pakistan real care about the country and people .IT feels likes Pakistani Establishment is affected by some vampire virus and they are spreading this virus by biting and drinking the blood of the Pakistani.I feel sad for Pakistani.Hope you guys get out of this hopeless situation.IT is case of Fence eating crop.Wonder if their is any other country in a worse situation then Pakistan.Recommend

  • Ashutosh
    May 3, 2011 - 11:08PM

    you sow so shall you reap … and you are still sowing …Recommend

  • R S JOHAR
    May 3, 2011 - 11:29PM

    George you have done an excellent analysis regarding complicity of Pakistan’s various establishments in sheltering the most dreaded terrorist. But the most difficult times lies ahead after withdrawl of US and NATO forces when Pakistan will face crunch of resources since foreign aid is going to dry up and with weak economy, governance will become extremely difficult, resulting in unrest. Simultaneously Pakistan may have to deal with home grown outfits like TTP, LeT, LeJ, SSP, JeM etc who would most likely make a joint front to continue their agenda of enforcing Sharia in Pakistan and jihad in Kashmir resulting in deterioration in relations with India leading to war between the two neighbours.Recommend

  • May 4, 2011 - 12:14AM

    The creativity involved in denial is an artform. Spin, spin till you become disorientated.Recommend

  • Cautious
    May 4, 2011 - 3:59AM

    Pakistan has few friends left but, after this week, it will have even fewer.

    That says a lot and I suspect you use of “friend” is more liberal than most. Many would argue that you have no friends left and for good reason.Recommend

  • vasan
    May 4, 2011 - 7:31AM

    Pakistan is the inventor of Doosra. I guess it is a national past time to deceive others be it a sport or anything elseRecommend

  • ashwin
    May 4, 2011 - 8:29AM

    @faraz:
    Hey it is not hopeless channelize ur frustration get your Pakistan back.Dont give up man Fight back.Recommend

  • Ahmed
    May 4, 2011 - 9:13AM

    If pakistanis didn’t not detect helicopters traveling 300 kilometers into their territory, how they could have detected obl? :) this whole story has too many paradoxes.Recommend

  • Srinath
    May 4, 2011 - 9:17AM

    @TightDhoti:
    Absolutely agree. Pakistani leaders, diplomats, retired and serving, and ultra-national scribes are a class apart. They have mastered the fine art of lying through their teeth without blinking their eyes. The day OBL was bumped off, we were hearing the chorus; ” Pakistan is in the forefront of war against terror”.Recommend

  • ashok sai
    May 4, 2011 - 9:54AM

    Now main concern for the international community is about Pakistan nukes, what will happen if Pakistan collapse and huge nuclear stock pill falls into the hands of terrorists, consequences will be disastrous.Recommend

  • muzaffar
    May 4, 2011 - 9:59AM

    Mr George u came and left my land(alongwith a daughter of my land). The manner in which you left especially the articles you wrote did not leave positive thoughts about your intention. So why are you so concerned and writing at times/issues which really do not need opinion of a person who has already betrayed. And this reasoning also involves many of our governing elite. Interestingly, your country has been the main harbour of all such elites.
    Think and start addressing such issuesRecommend

  • joy
    May 4, 2011 - 10:07AM

    @George

    well, you listed the problems……could you pls give some solutions as wellRecommend

  • Anam Aftab
    May 4, 2011 - 10:27AM

    Our leaders are conveniently collaborating with the US and pushing us in a ditch deeper than ever before for their own idiotic benefits. not only will we be stripped of all our resources, but we will also be the most hated people in the world. what a fate. our people are dying all the time, and instead of showing sympathy the world hates us. so what if our lives and futures are ruined in the name of their war on terrorism, now that their citizens have finally attained mental peace, its time to dispose us off in the worst manner possible. even their dogs’ lives are more precious than oursRecommend

  • bahram durrani
    May 4, 2011 - 10:30AM

    I laugh at ur article and you Jorge, because u clearly revealed ur puppet strings, ur analysis is bogus, what proof does anyone Ib the world have that osama was actually there? What proof does anyone have that 9/11 was his brainchild? (Actually there is much evidence that it was an inside job/false flag) what proof does anyone have that there was an American chopper that penetrated our security? A tail doesn’t proove anything just like the rubble outside pentagon on 9/11 and a crash in the woods. So I suggest readers expose this vermin and don’t buy his analyisis, as he’s moulding the kinda of ppl into believing that an attack on Pakistan is justifiedRecommend

  • vn
    May 4, 2011 - 10:37AM

    Nothing matters as Pak will never acknowledge their complicity – as fas as US cutting aid – this may not be a probable act as Pak would start getting more aid and shelter from China and this would not be acceptable to US, especially if China Junta can get access to US war machines for cloning.

    US will shout, berate and insinuate Pak – and delay payments – but will ultimatley provide assistance -Recommend

  • May 4, 2011 - 10:56AM

    For too long, Pakistan has been more than willing to proffer influence with one hand whilst wielding the begging bowl in the other. The end result is that Pakistan has become a client state to several nations (often with conflicting foreign policy objectives including the US, Saudi Arabia and China).

    bang on the buck.Recommend

  • M Ali Khan
    May 4, 2011 - 11:25AM

    @bahram durrani:
    Hey thanks for proving your chronic state of denial as witnessed by almost everyone in Pakistan

    The whole world (incl. many Muslim countries) know that Pakistan has become a danger to itself and to others….its only us Pakistanis that know that yet, and chose to stick our head in the sand and say ‘this is a conspiracy to ruin Pakistan’s image’

    when exactly did Pakistan even have a “good image”???Recommend

  • May 4, 2011 - 11:39AM

    there is no doubt things would be tough for us now onwards, there would be more terror attacks on us in revenge, and US pressure as well.
    i still cant comprehend how could they do it in our backyard without our military establishment knowing.
    i have no regard for osama but this kind of event just a kilometer away from our elite military academy without our knowledge, helis hovering over and without our knowledge simply unbelivable.
    frankly speaking our establishment has messed up big time we in between of terrorists attacking us and US establishment putting pressure on us to the level we breakup.
    its time we think over this relationship get ourselves cleaned from enemy within and distance ourselves from US poliicy in afghamistan, its gone too far.Recommend

  • Haseeb
    May 4, 2011 - 11:40AM

    I’m surprised on your article what you want to prove something ? or making people’s mind ? i wana make just one question , if they caught OSAMA , why they does not display on MEDIA like they displayed SADDAM & his trail and all that . Secondly , what is the evidence and where is the evidence that they really caught OSAMA and Killed him ? thirdly, could you please identify in which sea or ocean they throw OSAMA’s dead body ? If they would really caught OSAMA they definatlly show him on MEDIA and PAKISTAN’s Army is in alliance with US Army and they are helping each other, its not possible what they saying, Man its all media traits and mind making of people to attack on PAKISTAN . But let me tell you one thing , PAKISTAN is not an easy target for anyone !Recommend

  • ba ha
    May 4, 2011 - 11:54AM

    I don’t think we are a bit worried about why he was, were he was. After all its not that we issued a visa to this fella. We tolerated Raymond Davis types among us for a long time. In the words of the guru its not death by a thousand cuts but a 1000 budget cuts. The interest of politicians and journalists is directly proportional to the amount of funding in the project. OBL project is dead period. Pakistan has taken all the mileage you can out of it. Hello ChinaRecommend

  • Fauzia Haider
    May 4, 2011 - 12:00PM

    Well said George! It was embarrassing to see our so called free media personalities trying to spin it. Hamid Mir was using the term, USA “Claims” to have killed Bin Laden. Ansar Abbasi almost cried on the TV and was lamenting the fact that, our air force didn’t take these helicopters out and that it was a shameful day…. I don’t know what kind of a defense analyst Maria Sultan is ( I think too much bleach got to her head ) and what her qualifications are but she didn’t make any sense! Even Sarah Palin sounds more coherent than our Maria Sultan, she was uttering words but they did not make any sense or a proper sentence.
    Our people and media are off track as usual…. more worried and angry about USA coming into their territory with or without our knowledge, and they are not asking the most obvious question……what was OBL doing living in a big house, 0.5 kms away from PMA and in plain sight? It is a huge embarrassment for Pakistan….. On one hand ISI is known to be one of the best spy agencies in the world and on the other hand they didn’t know that OBL was living right in the middle of a Garrison town. Either way it doesn’t look good for Pakistan. If ISI didn’t know… then they are incompetent and if they did and didn’t catch him, that opens up a whole another can of worms. Does that mean that someone from our security agencies current or retired was supporting OBL either for monetary reasons or ideological reasons???? None of these scenarios look good for Pakistan. We have to as a nation decide once and for all that are we going to get rid of the Jihadi movement from Pakistan or will we keep our Rabid pets ( in pursuit of strategic depth policy ) and endanger ourselves in the process. Or will we obsess over definition of terrorists and whether USA or Taliban is a bigger terrorist,……. Rabid animals need to be put out otherwise they might harm the owners.
    I say get rid of the rabid pets, focus on economic development rather than military might and strengthen the judicial and democratic institutions.Recommend

  • Nael
    May 4, 2011 - 12:14PM

    I keep saying this, far too many Indians with their perverted views around here. Pakistan has problems, sure it does but will you all go and jump in the sea. We will put our house in order. We are at it and will come out as winners. There is not a single article on the subject in Express tribune that is balanced. Sickening.Recommend

  • Dreamer
    May 4, 2011 - 12:25PM

    George, lately I have only seen your posts when there is something damaging happened to Pakistan, that makes me wonder your real motive behind writing these articles …. anyway it would have been a source of serious embarrassment for the US to exit Afghanistan without killing Bin Laden, who had allegedly masterminded the 9/11 attacks on the United States and they had been using him and have been really busy for th…e last ten years or so in state terrorism by killing millions of Afghanis and Pakistanis (dont forget, none of the alleged 9/11 masterminds or implementers were Afghanis or Pakistanis) and secondly for the last couple of years OBL has been of no use to Americans so it was the right time to eliminate him and if we look at the big picture this was the right time to score points against Pakistan as these days ISI and CIA relations are not that great.Recommend

  • May 4, 2011 - 12:44PM

    no wonder this is the common thought that isi and army knows all about Osama .but this is not the problem here the problem and confusion is (how american entered in Pakistan and completed the operation with out the knowledge of pak army ?no wonder may be one day we will gona here that Pakistani nuclear assets has been destroyed by american nayvy seals in special operation and Pakistani army dont know about that…..its a feeling of shame for meRecommend

  • Meerza R Khan
    May 4, 2011 - 12:44PM

    Check this by Alex,

    hmm,
    Another Water gate into making,
    finally i think President Obama would be impeached for this lie.
    ha ha haRecommend

  • LOL
    May 4, 2011 - 12:55PM

    If only Pakistan actually had friends in its neighborhood.

    Afghanistan – no way. Pakistan ruined their country through the Taliban and now its proxy war.

    India – right, dream on.

    Iran – nope. No desire to befriend Pakistan.

    China – only to get some oil, gas, and keep India back. China doesn’t want to see Pakistan succeed it just wants to see Pakistan be a pain in the rear for India.Recommend

  • tauqeer
    May 4, 2011 - 12:59PM

    Well if we analyze the situation’s gravity, George is right. With the killing of OBL, the hardships for us will increase. But i hope and pray to Allah, to get us out of this critical situation. I have a firm belief that we will win the war against terrorism which is dawned on us. I encourage my nation to think out of the box for a solution. This war involves the foreign agencies as well. We have to figure out the real culprits and punish them.
    May Allah bless Pakistan and the nation.Recommend

  • tauqeer
    May 4, 2011 - 1:05PM

    @Anam Aftab: dear sister, you have rightly described the situation of Pakistan. But i am hopefull that the change is in the air, and we will be rescued from the evil of these leaders.Recommend

  • Prof. Tahir Husain
    May 4, 2011 - 1:34PM

    Mr George, do you think the US establishment was blind, deaf and demented for TEN LONG YEARS, not to know that PK was hiding OBL….??…There is a very sizeable presence of the CIA in PK…Was MR.OBL a needle in a haystack…It is inconcievable and insulting to a person with an average intelligence, to believe , like Mr Fulton that some parts of the US establishment , had no knowledge or complicity in this whole affair….It is just not possible.After all they were conducting joint operations which lead to the capture of luminaries like Khalid Shaikh Mohammad and over 300 other wanted individuals.No sir…!!…you are not adressing a bunch of fools….!!….Recommend

  • Concerned Citizen
    May 4, 2011 - 2:32PM

    For those who scoff at George’s well intentioned analysis need to realize that we are reaching a point of no return. There is still time to realize our mistakes, break our bonds with nefarious home grown terror outfits and clean this mess up. Because, as is evident from Monday’s raid, if we don’t do it, others effected by our ‘strategic assets’ will certainly be more than willing to do this job for us. And they won’t care who comes in the way.

    Don’t forget it was Al Qaeda’s documented policy to be at war with the state of Pakistan.Recommend

  • R S JOHAR
    May 4, 2011 - 2:39PM

    @Fauzia Haider:
    A well drafted and most logical analysis. Pakistan needs more clear minded individuals like your good-self.Recommend

  • vasan
    May 4, 2011 - 2:50PM

    Pakistanis feel that their sovereignity was lost because US helicopters went to Abbatobad without their permission. Did OBL have a visa tourist/visitor/PR/”Green” card anything at all issued by Pakistan. Where was the sovereignity thenRecommend

  • muzaffar
    May 4, 2011 - 4:01PM

    @Fauzia Haider:
    You are doing the same as the anchors/ our media who you r blaming. What do u know that others do not know. Time shall tell. Do not forget that time also told that there were no weapon of mass destruction based on which USA/rest of the so called free world invaded Iraq.

    We need to think that do we think or we just think what we are told to think !!!!!

    @tauqeer:
    I respect your determination and positive thoughts.Recommend

  • anon
    May 4, 2011 - 4:34PM

    Nothing new in this article – seems heavily inspired by writing of more distinguished journalists elsewhere.Recommend

  • rehan
    May 4, 2011 - 10:28PM

    An APACHE helicopter is an ATTACK helicopter which CANNOT at any cost accommodate passengers/extra people. So…. who picked up OBL from Abbottabad?? Who picked up the crew of the crashed APACHE?? And then the world says don’t believe in Conspiracy Theories.Recommend

  • Anoop
    May 4, 2011 - 10:57PM

    Too bad we dont get Pakistani TV channels here in Bangalore. Could have needed a laugh. Had been a hectic day at work!Recommend

  • pakpinoy
    May 5, 2011 - 1:48AM

    @rehan:

    Sometimes idiocy knows no bounds! Who the heck told you they were Apaches?? THEY WEREN’T! So please invent another story to support your conspiratorial views…Nice try.Recommend

  • LooseSalwar
    May 5, 2011 - 2:17AM

    @Nael:

    If Pakistan can keep it’s garbage within it’s own premises and not fling it over the fence of it’s neighbors, we promise to leave you alone.Recommend

  • Hammad
    May 5, 2011 - 11:32AM

    Mr. George what a one sided and shameful article. This country is in such a mess because of Faustian bargain with the USA for the last half century, not because we are not towing the US line. It is the slavish mentality of this country and especially its elite which permits a person who would have been a non-entity in his own country access to the highest corridors of power , because he is a gora , that is the root cause of our present predicament. Before whoring your pen to the altar of US power, have some intellectual honesty to ask this:
    - Killing of half of million Iraqis and the rape of the country on totally fabricated evidence — US does not have to answer any questions for it
    - Killing of hundreds of thousands Afghans in a war that could have been avoided , because T…alibans were prepared to negotiate to hand over OBL — USA does not have to answer for it
    - Killing of thousands of innocent women and children in Pakistan through drone attacks — USA does not need to answer for that
    - All looted wealth of Pakistani elite transferred to the west with the total knowledge and connivance of US – USA does not have to answer for it
    - USA supporting the most morbidly sick fundamentalists to rape Afghanistan during the Soviet invasion – USA does not have to answer for it
    - USA controlling to the level of even secretary level appointments in Pakistan(read shuahab nama), beside having a stranglehold on economic policy – USA does not have to answer for that
    If Pakistani leadership and intelligentsia had not been acting like US puppet, like the writer of this article, they would say to the US that they should be the last ones asking any questions of Pakistan. It is for us to see how we mangled ourselves through our army and politicans acting as your tool.Recommend

  • Pak cricket fan
    May 5, 2011 - 1:16PM

    why are u back George? it was with such a happy smile that we bid u ‘khuda hafiz’. TwiceRecommend

  • ahussain
    May 5, 2011 - 4:11PM

    Mr. George, I think your role here in Pakistan was not different than Raymond Davis and you played it very well.Recommend

  • rehan
    May 5, 2011 - 9:17PM

    @pakpinoy. Maybe you have links with ET,as my rebuttal to your myopic and implusive remarks which I put up 4 hours ago haven’t come up! Talat Hussain was quoting the Foreign Office Media Briefing on 2nd May as having said this on DAWN NEWS.So either grab his neck or our government’s.And please learn to be polite:)Recommend

  • Hasan
    May 6, 2011 - 3:10AM

    bah assumptions assumptions assumptions.Recommend

  • Gharatmandi
    May 6, 2011 - 6:41AM

    US action has already put in motion a process which places America’s most reliable ally in Pakistan “Army” in an adversary position – The trust deficit between People of Pakistan and the Army is now at the lowest since 1971. We can pray and hope for our Pakistani brothers and sisters. Recommend

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