Trump beats Republicans, not Clinton, in one-on-one matchups

Eight per cent of respondents said they did not know which candidate they would support in a Clinton-Trump competition


Reuters December 22, 2015
Eight per cent of respondents said they did not know which candidate they would support in a Clinton-Trump competition. PHOTO: REUTERS

WASHINGTON: Donald Trump would win a hypothetical head-to-head contest against either of his two closest Republican US presidential rivals, Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, but he would fall short of beating Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton if the election were held today, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll on Monday.

If the Republican primary featured a  face-off between Trump and Cruz, a Texas senator, Trump would win the support of 41 per cent of Republican and independent voters, the poll showed. Cruz would take 31 per cent, while 28 per cent said they would not vote in a Cruz-Trump contest.

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If Rubio, a Florida senator, were pitted against Trump, the billionaire real-estate mogul would take 40 per cent support of Republican and independent voters to Rubio's 34 per cent, according to the poll. Twenty-seven per cent said they would not vote. In this matchup, Trump's lead over Rubio is within the survey's credibility interval.

Cruz and Rubio currently sit in second and fourth place of all Republican candidates, respectively, in the run-up to the November 2016 presidential election, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll on Friday.

Despite months of leading the Republican polls, Trump would fall short in a general election competition held today against Clinton, the poll showed. In a one-on-one match-up, the former secretary of state would take 40 per cent support of all voters to real estate mogul Trump's 29 per cent.

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Eight per cent of respondents said they did not know which candidate they would support in a Clinton-Trump competition. Fourteen percent said they would not vote for either one, and another 9 per cent said they would not vote at all.

The survey of 1,627 likely voters from all parties was conducted between December 16 and December 21, with a credibility interval of 2.8 to 3.7 percentage points.

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